Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 2
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
4 - 1
ROC
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
WHU
1 - 0
TOT
37%
23%
39%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
TOT
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
TOT
16%
20%
63%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
TOT
5 - 1
NSM
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |