Burnley vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BUR
4 - 7
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 2
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 1
GRI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 2
LEI
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 2
BUR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PNE
2 - 2
COV
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
PNE
1 - 1
OPA
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
PNE
5 - 0
WAL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
LEI
2 - 1
PNE
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PNE
4 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |