Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
MKD
75%
18%
8%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
SHE
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LEE
1 - 0
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 1
WOL
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 0
WAT
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
63%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |