Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BHA
2 - 2
BUR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 3
BUR
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
FUL
2 - 3
BUR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 1
QPR
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
LEE
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 4
HUR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BBU
1 - 2
LEE
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEE
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |