Burnley vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BPO
4 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
LEI
0 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
COV
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 2
BUR
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
BHA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
WHU
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
BRI
71%
20%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 1
COV
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NTT
0 - 1
BRI
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |