Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 0
SWA
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
BUR
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 0
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
WHU
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARS
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 0
CRV
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 1
SWA
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |