Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
DER
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 2
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 0
DON
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
QPR
1 - 2
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 1
BUR
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 97 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
DYN
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 0
ARS
18%
23%
58%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 2
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 0
WIG
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |