Segunda B Playoffs Play Off Ascenso. Final
Global 0-1
Burgos vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALC
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BUR
3 - 1
LOG
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 4
BUR
25%
29%
46%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
OVI
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 0
ULP
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 0
SEV
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
SEV
33%
28%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAR
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 2
SEV
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |