Burgos vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
BUR
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 1
ACF
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
RAC
17%
25%
59%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COX
0 - 2
BUR
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 5
CUL
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
SOM
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
PEÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
SPB
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |