Burgos vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
BUR
2 - 2
VAD
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 1
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
HER
4 - 1
RAY
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
HER
0 - 0
RSO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |