Burgos vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
LEM
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SES
2 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
CFP
27%
29%
44%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SDA
3 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EIB
4 - 0
ACF
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 2
EIB
22%
29%
49%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 1
ALA
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
EIB
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EIB
1 - 1
RUN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |