Burgos vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
CDO
0 - 2
BUR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
EUR
1 - 0
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
BUR
4 - 0
SLA
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CON
2 - 2
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 4
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
UPL
1 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
HOS
2 - 1
CEL
31%
28%
40%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CEL
5 - 0
BAD
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |