Burgos vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACF
0 - 0
BUR
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAB
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
VDB
0 - 1
BUR
21%
26%
52%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
BUR
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 0
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AST
2 - 1
SDA
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDH
2 - 0
AST
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AST
1 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 2
AST
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |