Burgan vs Al Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
4º
4º
25
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 1
BUR
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
BUR
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
YAR
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
KHA
2 - 0
BUR
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALS
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Al Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALT
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALT
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALN
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ALJ
0 - 0
ALS
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 2
ALS
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |