Burgan vs Al Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
4º
4º
25
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 0
BUR
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALT
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALN
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ALJ
0 - 0
ALS
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 2
ALS
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |