Buochs vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 2
BUO
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BUO
2 - 2
TUG
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 1
BUO
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
BUO
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BUO
1 - 2
SCB
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 2
YFJ
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZUG
4 - 1
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 2
RAP
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
WIN
7 - 2
MEN
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |