Bulgaria U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
HUN
1 - 0
BGR
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
BGR
1 - 2
SWE
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
BGR
0 - 2
ITA
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
BGR
2 - 1
MLT
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
HRV
1 - 0
BGR
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
HRV
1 - 0
MLT
84%
11%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
HRV
2 - 1
ISL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ISR
1 - 0
HRV
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
HRV
1 - 0
BGR
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
0 - 2
HRV
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |