BUL FC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 0
URA
42%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
VIP
0 - 1
BUL
50%
27%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 0
SIM
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAD
1 - 0
BUL
46%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 0
EXP
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
SCV
3 - 1
LWE
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SCV
1 - 0
FUR
10%
22%
68%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SCV
4 - 0
SCV
55%
26%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
FUR
7 - 0
SCV
79%
16%
5%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VIP
2 - 2
SCV
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |