Buitenpost vs AZSV Aalten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
12º
48
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
BUI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 3
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
BUI
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BUI
2 - 2
EEM
11%
19%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
HZV
2 - 3
BUI
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
AZSV Aalten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZS
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AZS
2 - 0
BER
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 0
AZS
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AZS
0 - 2
HZV
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 2
AZS
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |