Bugesera vs Vision FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BUG
1 - 1
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KIY
1 - 2
BUG
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 0
BUG
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
GFC
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vision FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
VFC
0 - 2
APR
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
VFC
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VFC
4 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +8 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
VFC
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
VFC
0 - 0
POL
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | +3 |