Buffalo vs Rochester Lancers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buffalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ECO
1 - 1
BUF
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CLE
3 - 1
BUF
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BUF
1 - 2
PIT
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BUF
1 - 2
CLE
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
PIT
2 - 0
BUF
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester Lancers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PIT
3 - 0
RLU
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
SYR
0 - 2
RLU
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RLU
2 - 3
SYR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RLU
2 - 5
ECO
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RLU
2 - 3
PIT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |