Buelna vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 2
BUE
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BUE
4 - 2
MDP
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SDR
0 - 3
BUE
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUE
5 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BUE
4 - 1
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 0
AYR
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NMO
1 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 0
GIM
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
SEL
42%
25%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 0
SDT
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |