Budissa Bautzen vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
10º
70
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUD
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 3
AUE
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
5 - 2
BUD
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
FSV
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 4
BUD
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +3 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 1
VFB
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
BIS
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EWD
3 - 4
BIS
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 1
SVG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |