UEFA Intertoto Cup . Final
Global 1-2
Budapest Honved vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
BUD
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
BUD
0 - 2
TEP
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
TEP
1 - 3
BUD
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
BUD
4 - 2
ZHE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
1 - 2
BUD
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
STR
3 - 0
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
BUD
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
SHA
0 - 0
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2008 |
STR
3 - 1
RAP
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |