Buchbach vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
BUC
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 1
MEM
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 2
SCH
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
WAC
3 - 2
BUC
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
BUC
4 - 0
RAI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
NUR
2 - 2
186
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 0
NUR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NUR
2 - 1
ILL
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AMB
4 - 2
NUR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
NUR
2 - 0
AUG
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |