Bubendorf vs Tavannes / Tramelan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
16º
15º
29
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 62 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 48 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 33 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 25 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
BUB
50%
21%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 6
CON
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 2
BUB
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 0
LIE
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 3
BUB
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 2
BBB
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 1
TAV
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 3
OLD
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 1
TAV
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 2
GUM
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |