Bubali vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
BUB
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BUB
2 - 2
SNI
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
RCA
4 - 1
BUB
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BUB
0 - 0
RCA
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
BUB
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 4
BRI
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 3
EST
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
BUB
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |