Bubali vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BUB
3 - 0
SVS
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BRI
4 - 3
BUB
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
BUB
5 - 5
JTL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 2
BUB
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BUB
4 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
EST
9 - 0
SVS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
JTL
2 - 1
EST
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
RCA
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 1
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |