BSG Wismut Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 3
BFC
28%
28%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 1
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CZJ
6 - 0
BWA
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 4
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 0
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 2
SGD
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
SGD
3 - 1
BCB
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
FVF
1 - 2
SGD
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
SGD
2 - 0
CZJ
72%
16%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |