Bryne vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
15º
14º
21
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 1
BRY
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 1
HAM
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
BRY
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BRY
3 - 2
SDF
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BRY
4 - 3
FFK
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
VIF
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 1
VIF
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |