Brusque vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 2
BRU
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 0
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 3
BRU
79%
14%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BRU
3 - 0
IMB
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRI
6 - 1
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 1
CRI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 1
BOA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |