Bruchsal vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bruchsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
REU
1 - 1
BRU
86%
9%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
0 - 2
RAV
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KEH
1 - 1
BRU
65%
21%
15%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 2
BRU
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BRU
1 - 5
SPI
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 1
SPI
72%
16%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
FRE
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FRE
6 - 3
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
KSC
0 - 0
FRE
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOL
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |