Broomhill FC vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
14º
18º
18º
33
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
31 | 31 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Broomhill FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
BFC
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 1
BFC
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STI
3 - 2
BFC
47%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 2
GAL
53%
21%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
BFC
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 2
GRE
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
5 - 0
GRE
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
CUM
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
CBF
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |