Brøndby IF vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
6º
4º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 1
BIF
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
0 - 3
VFF
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 1
TRE
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 14 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 1
BIF
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BIF
2 - 1
SIF
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
0 - 1
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
RAN
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
AGF
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
OBK
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 2
AGF
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |