League Two round 23

Bromley vs Swindon Town analysis

Bromley Swindon Town
62 ELO 57
4.7% Tilt -8.5%
3068º General ELO ranking 3085º
75º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Bromley
23.5%
Draw
25.1%
Swindon Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
Bromley
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bromley
+20%
+15%
Swindon Town

Points and table prediction

Bromley
Their league position
Swindon Town
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
21º
11º
62
12º
24º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Doncaster Rovers
84
84
100%
Port Vale
80
80
100%
Bradford City
78
78
100%
Walsall
77
77
100%
AFC Wimbledon
73
73
100%
Notts County
72
72
100%
Chesterfield
70
70
100%
Salford City
69
69
100%
Grimsby Town
68
68
100%
Colchester United
10º
67
67
10º
100%
Bromley
11º
66
66
11º
100%
Swindon Town
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
62
62
13º
0%
Fleetwood Town
14º
60
60
14º
0%
Cheltenham Town
15º
60
60
15º
0%
Barrow
16º
59
59
16º
100%
Gillingham
17º
58
58
17º
100%
Harrogate Town
18º
53
53
18º
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Tranmere Rovers
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Accrington Stanley
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Newport County
22º
49
49
22º
100%
Carlisle United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Morecambe
24º
36
36
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bromley
Swindon Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bromley
Swindon Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bromley
Bromley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2024
BRO
Bromley
5 - 2
Newport County
NEW
54%
24%
22%
61 57 4 0
21 Dec. 2024
MOR
Morecambe
0 - 2
Bromley
BRO
32%
27%
41%
61 54 7 0
14 Dec. 2024
BRO
Bromley
0 - 0
Port Vale
POR
46%
26%
28%
61 62 1 0
07 Dec. 2024
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 2
Bromley
BRO
37%
27%
36%
60 56 4 +1
04 Dec. 2024
BRO
Bromley
2 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
52%
25%
23%
60 58 2 0

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
55%
23%
22%
57 64 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
49%
24%
27%
56 57 1 +1
14 Dec. 2024
BRA
Bradford City
1 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
52%
24%
24%
57 65 8 -1
10 Dec. 2024
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
75%
16%
9%
56 77 21 +1
07 Dec. 2024
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
30%
25%
45%
54 62 8 +2