Brive vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
BRI
1 - 3
GIR
4%
16%
81%
|
34 | 86 | 52 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
BRI
2 - 4
MAR
11%
22%
68%
|
34 | 91 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MAS
1 - 0
BRI
34%
24%
41%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
BRI
0 - 2
OLY
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
2 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |