Championship Round 34

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton analysis

Bristol Rovers Southampton
67 ELO 68
6.9% Tilt 11.9%
3524º General ELO ranking 318º
93º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Bristol Rovers
21.6%
Draw
25.1%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.1%
Win probability
Southampton
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol Rovers
-19%
-2%
Southampton

ELO progression

Bristol Rovers
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 1961
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
53%
22%
25%
67 62 5 0
11 Mar. 1961
BRO
Bristol Rovers
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
69%
17%
14%
66 58 8 +1
04 Mar. 1961
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
46%
24%
31%
66 57 9 0
28 Feb. 1961
SWA
Swansea City
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
62%
19%
19%
66 65 1 0
25 Feb. 1961
BRO
Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
51%
22%
27%
65 71 6 +1

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 1961
LIN
Lincoln City
0 - 3
Southampton
SOU
46%
25%
30%
69 56 13 0
11 Mar. 1961
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
64%
17%
18%
69 66 3 0
25 Feb. 1961
SOU
Southampton
4 - 2
Huddersfield Town
HUR
72%
16%
12%
68 66 2 +1
18 Feb. 1961
SCU
Scunthorpe United
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
52%
23%
25%
69 63 6 -1
11 Feb. 1961
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
60%
19%
22%
69 72 3 0