Bristol Rovers vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 2
OXF
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
IPS
3 - 1
BRO
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 0
BRO
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 0
BRO
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
MOR
83%
13%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
POR
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
YOR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BPO
1 - 2
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |