Bristol Rovers vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
GUL
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 2
BRO
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
HER
0 - 0
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BRO
4 - 0
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WYC
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
HER
0 - 0
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
STF
3 - 0
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |