Bristol Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
SWI
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 2
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
CRA
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
FOR
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
EVE
61%
19%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 0
CUM
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 2
SCU
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |