Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 4
WBA
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
CIR
0 - 7
BRO
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 1
GRI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
BIR
10%
18%
73%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
BIR
19%
22%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |