Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
11º
7º
28
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 1
BRI
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
MCI
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
MFC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 2
BRI
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 2
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 1
MEL
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 4
MUD
7%
18%
75%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |