Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
BRI
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
BEI
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
FCT
4 - 2
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 2
ULS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |