Brimscombe & Thrupp vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
50.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brimscombe & Thrupp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ABI
1 - 2
BRI
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 6
SWI
7%
14%
80%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 7
HAY
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 2
BRI
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 2
FOR
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
WAN
0 - 2
AYL
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AYL
0 - 0
COR
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AYL
2 - 2
BAR
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AYL
3 - 1
AYL
36%
24%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AYL
0 - 3
BRO
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |