Brighton & Hove Sub 21 vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
LEY
1 - 1
BHA
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 2
BHA
45%
22%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
BHA
59%
21%
21%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 3
BHA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
POS
2 - 2
BHA
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MAL
0 - 1
NEW
21%
21%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 7
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GRI
1 - 1
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |