Liga de Desarrollo Sub 18 Round 12

Brighton & Hove U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis

Brighton & Hove U18 Derby County U18
27 ELO 30
3.2% Tilt -0.2%
9546º General ELO ranking 9133º
458º Country ELO ranking 412º
ELO win probability
47.3%
Brighton & Hove U18
22.6%
Draw
30.1%
Derby County U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove U18
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.1%
Win probability
Derby County U18
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brighton & Hove U18
-47%
-36%
Derby County U18

ELO progression

Brighton & Hove U18
Derby County U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brighton & Hove U18
Brighton & Hove U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2013
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
0 - 3
Queens Park Rangers U18
QPR
44%
23%
33%
30 32 2 0
25 Oct. 2013
HUD
Huddersfield Town U18
4 - 1
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
72%
17%
11%
30 46 16 0
19 Oct. 2013
MIL
Millwall U18
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
63%
20%
18%
29 35 6 +1
05 Oct. 2013
BRI
Bristol City U18
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
22%
22%
56%
27 18 9 +2
28 Sep. 2013
CRE
Crewe Alexandra U18
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
57%
21%
22%
27 30 3 0

Matches

Derby County U18
Derby County U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2013
DER
Derby County U18
2 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday U18
SHE
45%
23%
32%
29 31 2 0
16 Nov. 2013
DER
Derby County U18
2 - 1
Charlton Athletic U18
CHA
16%
20%
64%
25 46 21 +4
02 Nov. 2013
LEE
Leeds United U18
3 - 1
Derby County U18
DER
54%
22%
24%
26 28 2 -1
19 Oct. 2013
DER
Derby County U18
1 - 5
Sheffield United U18
SHE
29%
23%
47%
28 37 9 -2
12 Oct. 2013
CRY
Crystal Palace U18
6 - 2
Derby County U18
DER
65%
19%
16%
28 36 8 0