Championship Round 20

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Nottingham Forest
72 ELO 68
7.6% Tilt -16.7%
54º General ELO ranking 85º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
57%
Brighton & Hove Albion
23.6%
Draw
19.4%
Nottingham Forest

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brighton & Hove Albion
+3%
-2%
Nottingham Forest

ELO progression

Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2011
DER
Derby County
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
43%
27%
30%
71 64 7 0
26 Nov. 2011
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Coventry City
COV
67%
20%
13%
71 63 8 0
19 Nov. 2011
SOU
Southampton
3 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
65%
22%
14%
72 79 7 -1
06 Nov. 2011
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
61%
22%
17%
71 66 5 +1
01 Nov. 2011
WAT
Watford
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
47%
27%
26%
72 66 6 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 4
Leeds United
LEE
42%
26%
33%
70 74 4 0
26 Nov. 2011
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
64%
21%
15%
70 77 7 0
19 Nov. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 2
Ipswich Town
IPS
53%
24%
23%
70 69 1 0
05 Nov. 2011
OPA
Portsmouth
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
52%
26%
23%
71 73 2 -1
01 Nov. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Reading
REA
40%
26%
34%
70 76 6 +1