Brighton & Hove Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
BHA
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
BHA
4 - 0
QPR
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
BHA
5 - 0
FUL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 2
BHA
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BIR
1 - 2
BHA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 3
DER
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
DER
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DER
4 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
DER
4 - 0
HUL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |