Slovenia Third Division East Round 13

Brežice vs Rače analysis

Brežice Rače
43 ELO 43
1.6% Tilt 6.4%
5288º General ELO ranking 5993º
44º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Brežice
24.2%
Draw
36.5%
Rače

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Brežice
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
Rače
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brežice
-4%
+5%
Rače

Points and table prediction

Brežice
Their league position
Rače
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
11º
41
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ND Dravinja Kostroj
48
52
93%
Drava Ptuj
49
49
93.5%
SD Videm
43
46
48%
Rače
41
44
28%
Podvinci
40
43
26.5%
Dobrovce
39
42
18%
Šampion Celje
37
41
20.5%
Brežice
37
40
20.5%
Posavje Krsko
12º
23
40
9%
Zavrč
36
39
10º
17.5%
Ljutomer
10º
33
36
11º
78.5%
Cirkulane
11º
27
30
12º
98%
Smartno 1928
13º
10
10
13º
83.5%
Dravograd
14º
8
8
14º
83.5%
Expected probabilities
Brežice
Rače
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Brežice
Rače
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brežice
Brežice
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
TOL
ND Dravinja Kostroj
3 - 1
Brežice
BRE
62%
20%
17%
42 48 6 0
22 Oct. 2022
BRE
Brežice
1 - 1
Drava Ptuj
DRA
42%
24%
34%
42 42 0 0
19 Oct. 2022
RUD
Rudar Velenje
10 - 0
Brežice
BRE
64%
20%
16%
44 52 8 -2
15 Oct. 2022
DRA
Dravograd
2 - 4
Brežice
BRE
23%
21%
56%
43 27 16 +1
08 Oct. 2022
BRE
Brežice
4 - 0
Posavje Krsko
NKP
47%
24%
29%
41 41 0 +2

Matches

Rače
Rače
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
RAC
Rače
1 - 1
Dobrovce
DOB
71%
17%
11%
45 34 11 0
23 Oct. 2022
SDC
Cirkulane
0 - 3
Rače
RAC
41%
25%
34%
43 42 1 +2
15 Oct. 2022
RAC
Rače
5 - 1
Ljutomer
LJU
64%
21%
16%
42 37 5 +1
08 Oct. 2022
ZAV
Zavrč
2 - 3
Rače
RAC
71%
18%
12%
41 51 10 +1
01 Oct. 2022
RAC
Rače
3 - 1
Podvinci
POD
43%
24%
33%
39 40 1 +2