Brescia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
71%
21%
9%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
TAR
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
PES
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
LAZ
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 2
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
SPA
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
PES
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |