Brescia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 1
NOV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 1
BRE
72%
16%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
MAN
2 - 1
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAG
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |